The undecided voter delusion

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Political pundit Charles Cook has been teling everybody for months that undecided voters always break against the incumbent in the end, and this year they are very negative about Bush. He says Bush will need a 3 point lead going into Election Day to win because of this.

Funny, but John Zogby actually conducted a poll among these undecideds,  and  found that Bush leads by 25 points among the  undecideds when they are asked their leaning.

Could conventional widsom be wrong?

Posted by Richard  8 31 04