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January 26, 2020
Exponential coronavirus
Similar to SARS, the current Chinese Coronavirus, known as 2019-nCoV, is transmitted from person to person by close personal contact, and also believed to be readily transmitted by respiratory droplets and aerosols produced when an infected person coughs or sneezes. The CDC informs us that the Chinese epidemic “reportedly had some link to a large seafood and animal market, suggesting animal-to-person spread,” but some believe 2019-nCoV might be a Chinese bioweapon which leaked out of their Wuhan BSL-4 microbiology research laboratory.
2019-nCOV virus (photo courtesy of European Commission)
Exponential expansion of an infectious disease occurs when the rate of growth is proportional to the number of people currently infected. The mathematical formula for exponential growth is:
“xt” refers to the total number of cases, “xo” the number of index cases or the number of cases at the time of mathematical calculation, “r”...(Read Full Post)
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