What will the House of Representatives look like in 2021?

Impeachment and now Iran are consuming public opinion and media coverage.  However, the biggest story of 2020 may be the U.S. House elections. Will the Democrats hold their small majority, or will the GOP take it back? My sense today is that the GOP is back in the game, as Barry Casselman wrote over the weekend: In the U.S. house, the Democrats were heavily favored to keep control even if President Trump were re-elected, but the impeachment activity seems to be changing that.  Although the media is making the large number of GOP incumbents retiring a big story, most of those are in safe Republican districts, Perhaps the bigger story is the one being told by former Speaker Newt Gingrich who, in a recent column, cited the record number of GOP congressional candidates, including women and minorities, already running in 2020.  With more than 30 seats won in 2018 by Democrats in districts carried by Mr. Trump in 2016, the current backlash to...(Read Full Post)
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